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Opinion
Polls |
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Opinion polls are surveys of opinion using
sampling. They are usually designed to represent the
opinions of a population by asking a number of
people a series of questions and then extrapolating
the answers to the larger group.
By providing information about voting intentions,
opinion polls can sometimes influence the behaviour
of electors. The various theories about how this
happens can be split up into two groups:
bandwagon/underdog effects, and strategic
('tactical') voting.
A Bandwagon effect occurs when the poll prompts
voters to back the candidate shown to be winning in
the poll. The idea that voters are susceptible to
such effects is old, stemming at least from 1884;
Safire (1993: 43) reported that it was first used in
a political cartoon in the magazine Puck in that
year. It has also remained persistent in spite of a
lack of empirical corroberation until the late 20th
century. George Gallup spent much effort in vain
trying to discredit this theory in his time by
presenting empirical research. A recent meta-study
of scientific research on this topic indicates that
from the 1980's onward the Bandwagon effect is found
more often by researchers (Irwin & van Holsteyn
2000).
The opposite of the bandwagon effect is the Underdog
effect. It is often mentioned in the media. This
occurs when people vote, out of sympathy, for the
party perceived to be 'losing' the elections. There
is less empirical evidence for the existence of this
effect than there is for the existence of the
Bandwagon effect (Irwin & van Holsteyn 2000).
The second category of theories on how polls
directly affect voting is called strategic or
tactical voting. This theory is based on the idea
that voters view the act of voting as a means of
selecting a government. Thus they will sometimes not
choose the candidate they prefer on ground of
ideology or sympathy, but another, less-preferred,
candidate from strategic considerations. An example
can be found in the United Kingdom general election,
1997. Then Cabinet Minister, Michael Portillo's
constituency of Enfield was believed to be a safe
seat but opinion polls showed the Labour candidate
Stephen Twigg steadily gaining support, which may
have prompted undecided voters or supporters of
other parties to support Twigg in order to remove
Portillo. Another example is the Boomerang effect
where the likely supporters of the candidate shown
to be winning feel that s/he is "home and dry" and
that their vote is not required, thus allowing
another candidate to win.
These effects only indicate how opinion polls
directly affect political choices of the electorate.
Other effect can be found on journalists,
politicians, political parties, civil servants etc.
in, among other things, the form of media Framing
(communication theory) and party ideology shifts.
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Unlike most polling and survey
services out there that provide simple website polls with meager
results, Simple Simon can allow you or your company to take your
polls or surveys via the telephone, present your polls and surveys
on your our website or even on your own website.
If you want faster results for
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targeted audience via our
telephone polling and surveying services, of which do the outbound
calling and results collection for you automatically. click for
more info
Great for radio and
television respondents
You can view your poll or
survey results in complete detail at any time. See the poll or
survey results as they occur via a secure or open web page on our
website, or even on your own.
Telephone polls and surveys are
taken via an IVR (Interactive Voice Response) System.
An IVR system allows
people to take your custom survey over the telephone.
The poll or survey
questions are read to the person when they call in. Or when we call
them via our polling and surveying services, to take your customized
poll or survey.
Your respondents then
select their responses via their touch tone keypad on their
telephone. The results received are then logged into a database
where you can view the live results of your poll or survey via a
secure or open web page at any time.
Any way you choose to
setup and administer your poll or survey, the responses you receive
are stored in a secure database where the real-time results can then
be viewed by you on the web, sent to you via e-mail, or mailed to
you in an advanced printed report. All of this either during or at
your polls ending date!
Our hosted web polls &
surveys and telephone polling and survey services are unparalleled
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