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Opinion Polls

 

Opinion polls are surveys of opinion using sampling. They are usually designed to represent the opinions of a population by asking a number of people a series of questions and then extrapolating the answers to the larger group.

By providing information about voting intentions, opinion polls can sometimes influence the behaviour of electors. The various theories about how this happens can be split up into two groups: bandwagon/underdog effects, and strategic ('tactical') voting.

A Bandwagon effect occurs when the poll prompts voters to back the candidate shown to be winning in the poll. The idea that voters are susceptible to such effects is old, stemming at least from 1884; Safire (1993: 43) reported that it was first used in a political cartoon in the magazine Puck in that year. It has also remained persistent in spite of a lack of empirical corroberation until the late 20th century. George Gallup spent much effort in vain trying to discredit this theory in his time by presenting empirical research. A recent meta-study of scientific research on this topic indicates that from the 1980's onward the Bandwagon effect is found more often by researchers (Irwin & van Holsteyn 2000).

The opposite of the bandwagon effect is the Underdog effect. It is often mentioned in the media. This occurs when people vote, out of sympathy, for the party perceived to be 'losing' the elections. There is less empirical evidence for the existence of this effect than there is for the existence of the Bandwagon effect (Irwin & van Holsteyn 2000).

The second category of theories on how polls directly affect voting is called strategic or tactical voting. This theory is based on the idea that voters view the act of voting as a means of selecting a government. Thus they will sometimes not choose the candidate they prefer on ground of ideology or sympathy, but another, less-preferred, candidate from strategic considerations. An example can be found in the United Kingdom general election, 1997. Then Cabinet Minister, Michael Portillo's constituency of Enfield was believed to be a safe seat but opinion polls showed the Labour candidate Stephen Twigg steadily gaining support, which may have prompted undecided voters or supporters of other parties to support Twigg in order to remove Portillo. Another example is the Boomerang effect where the likely supporters of the candidate shown to be winning feel that s/he is "home and dry" and that their vote is not required, thus allowing another candidate to win.

These effects only indicate how opinion polls directly affect political choices of the electorate. Other effect can be found on journalists, politicians, political parties, civil servants etc. in, among other things, the form of media Framing (communication theory) and party ideology shifts.

 

Unlike most polling and survey services out there that provide simple website polls with meager results, Simple Simon can allow you or your company to take your polls or surveys via the telephone, present your polls and surveys on your our website or even on your own website.

  If you want faster results  for your polls or surveys you can submit your polls and surveys to your targeted audience via our telephone polling and surveying services, of which do the outbound calling and results collection for you automatically.  click for more info

Great for radio and television respondents

  You can view your poll or survey results in complete detail at any time.  See the poll or survey results as they occur via a secure or open web page on our website, or even on your own.

  Telephone polls and surveys are taken via an IVR (Interactive Voice Response) System.  An IVR system allows people to take your custom survey over the telephone.

  The poll or survey questions are read to the person when they call in. Or when we call them via our polling and surveying services, to take your customized poll or survey.

  Your respondents then select their responses via their touch tone keypad on their telephone.  The results received are then logged into a database where you can view the live results of your poll or survey via a secure or open web page at any time.

  Any way you choose to setup and administer your poll or survey, the responses you receive are stored in a secure database where the real-time results can then be viewed by you on the web, sent to you via e-mail, or mailed to you in an advanced printed report.  All of this either during or at your polls ending date!

  Our hosted web polls & surveys and telephone polling  and survey services are unparalleled in excellence of support and customer satisfaction. 

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